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Global aerosol and ozone distributions and their associated radiative forcings were simulated between and following a recent historical emission dataset and under the representative concentration pathways RCP for the future. These simulations were used in an Earth System Model to account for the changes in both radiatively and chemically active compounds, when simulating the climate evolution.
In the meantime, the tropospheric ozone burden increase generates a positive climate forcing peaking at 0. The future evolution of ozone strongly depends on the RCP scenario considered.
Over the twentieth century, the evolution of the total aerosol burden is characterized by a strong increase after World War II until the middle of the s followed by a stabilization during the last decade due to the strong decrease in sulfates in OECD countries since the s.
According to the RCP scenarios, the aerosol content, after peaking aroundis projected to decline strongly and monotonically during the twenty-first century for the RCP8.
As a consequence the relative importance of the total cooling effect of aerosols becomes weaker throughout the twenty-first century compared with the positive forcing of greenhouse gases.
Nevertheless, both surface ozone and aerosol content show very different regional features depending on the future scenario considered. Tweet This is a preview of a remote PDF: Aerosol and ozone changes as forcing for climate evolution between andClimate Dynamics, DOI:Journal of Asian and African Studies.
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